Risk Intelligence

How to Live with Uncertainty

There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn't correlate with IQ and most psychologists fail to spot it because it is found in such a disparate, rag-tag group of people such as weather-forecasters, professional gamblers and hedge-fund managers. This book shows just how important risk intelligence is. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers - seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty. Risk Intelligence is a traveller's guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Dylan Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing... alles anzeigen expand_more

There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn't correlate with IQ and most psychologists fail to spot it because it is found in such a disparate, rag-tag group of people such as weather-forecasters, professional gamblers and hedge-fund managers.





This book shows just how important risk intelligence is. Many people in positions which require high risk intelligence - doctors, financial regulators and bankers - seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty. Risk Intelligence is a traveller's guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Dylan Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing with climate change to combating terrorism. He argues that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but about how to make decisions in all aspects of our lives.



Dylan Evans is the author of several critically acclaimed books, including Emotion: The Science of Sentiment (Oxford University Press, 2001) and Placebo: The Belief Effect (HarperCollins, 2003). He has a PhD in philosophy from the London School of Economics and is the founder of Projection Point, a company that designs risk intelligence training programs for corporate clients. He writes regularly for The Huffington Post and often appears on BBC Radio.



Risk Intelligence is a manifesto for a new approach to knowledge and uncertainty. It will change the way you think.



Risk Intelligence is really a great contribution for dealing with the biggest challenge we have in an interconnected world: complexity, velocity and uncertainty.



Fascinating... Readers of this valuable manual will be better able to 'gauge the limits of [their] own knowledge' and increase their ability to make fact-based decisions.

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